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Stronger glasses every year? See where your child's myopia is heading.

Two glasses numbers become a yearly change, set against the published averages and drawn to the age it usually settles. One minute, nothing uploaded.

Jake Steiner in a trial frame
Typical at age 9–0.55/yr

Step 1 · Your child

How old are they now?

The age decides how many growing years are left, and that is most of the answer.

Jake Steiner

Who made this

Jake Steiner. Founder and Research Director, endmyopia. Twenty years of myopia work, 470 videos, 70,000 subscribers, and 423 published case reports since 2013.

Child myopia progression: the published averages

For children in ordinary single-vision glasses. Averages hide a wide spread: two children the same age can sit half a diopter a year apart, which is why your own two numbers beat the table.

GroupAverage
European ancestry, age 9about –0.55 a year
Asian, age 9about –0.82 a year
Age it usually stops climbing15.6 years
Usual number when it stopsabout –4.87

Sources: Donovan et al., Optometry and Vision Science, 2012, a review of 20 studies; the COMET study group, IOVS, 2013, 469 children followed for up to 11 years.

How the calculator works

The yearly change is the newer number minus the older one, divided by the years in between. Myopia in children climbs fastest early and slows through the teens, so the trend line takes that yearly change and tapers it evenly to zero at 16, close to the 15.6-year average in the COMET study. Every year left adds half the current yearly change.

Without an earlier number the calculator uses the published one-year averages instead, and shows a range rather than one number.

Where a calculation like this runs out

It is an average shape applied to one child. Glasses numbers from different shops can differ by a quarter step, and two readings only a few months apart make a noisy line. Readings a year or more apart, from the same kind of exam, give the steadiest trend.

Frequently asked

How fast does myopia progress in children?

In children wearing ordinary single-vision glasses, a 2012 review of 20 studies found an average change of about 0.55 diopters a year at age 9 for children of European ancestry and 0.82 for Asian children. Younger children change faster, and girls slightly faster than boys.

At what age does myopia stop getting worse?

In the COMET study, which followed 469 children for up to 11 years, myopia stopped climbing at 15.6 years of age on average, at an average of –4.87. The spread is wide: some children settle in their early teens, others keep changing into their twenties.

Is a change of –0.50 a year normal for a child?

It sits in the middle of the published range for children in ordinary glasses. What it adds up to depends on age: half a diopter a year from age 7 is a very different total by 16 than the same pace from age 13. The tool above does that arithmetic.

What is myopia control?

Myopia control is the name optometrists use for anything meant to slow the yearly climb: special spectacle lenses, soft multifocal contact lenses, overnight lenses (orthokeratology), low-dose atropine drops, and more time outdoors. It is judged by how much it lowers the yearly change compared with ordinary glasses.

Does time outdoors help with children's myopia?

Studies across many countries find that children who spend more time outdoors become nearsighted less often. Daylight appears to be what matters, not exercise. The effect on myopia that has already started is smaller and less consistent.

When should a child's eyes be checked by a professional?

Regular eye exams are part of tracking the yearly number. See a licensed professional promptly for a sudden drop in vision, one eye turning in or out, pain, flashes, new floaters, or a child who squints or covers one eye to see.

This is a free educational tool for parents. It does not replace a licensed optometrist or eye doctor. The trend is an average shape, a guide rather than a forecast for one child. For eye health concerns or any sudden change in vision, see a licensed professional.

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Simple habits can get your real eyes back. — Jake Steiner, founder and research director of endmyopia

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